Overnight gap yield on earnings announcement day
factor.formula
Overnight gap yield on earnings announcement day:
The formula calculates the return of the opening price on the first trading day (t+1) after the earnings announcement date (t) relative to the closing price on the announcement date.
- :
The opening price on t+1 (i.e. the first trading day after the earnings announcement).
- :
The closing price on day t (i.e., the earnings announcement date).
factor.explanation
The overnight gap return on the earnings announcement day reflects the market's immediate emotional reaction to the earnings announcement. A positive gap (i.e., a positive factor value) usually implies that the market interprets the earnings results as exceeding expectations, which may lead to an increase in buying and a rise in stock prices; a negative gap (i.e., a negative factor value) implies that the market interprets the earnings results as falling short of expectations, which may lead to an increase in selling and a fall in stock prices. Therefore, this factor can be used as an indicator to measure the market's sensitivity to earnings announcement information and to assist in identifying short-term fluctuations in stock prices caused by earnings announcements.