Monthly relative turnover rate overflow
factor.formula
Monthly relative turnover rate overflow = average daily turnover rate in the past month / average daily turnover rate in the past year
The formula calculates the monthly relative turnover overflow, with the numerator being the average daily turnover rate over the past 20 trading days and the denominator being the average daily turnover rate over the past 250 trading days.
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Daily turnover rate is defined as the ratio of daily trading volume to total outstanding shares.
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Current trading day
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The range of 20 trading days from the current trading day
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The range of 250 trading days from the current trading day
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Calculate the average daily turnover rate within a given time window
factor.explanation
The monthly relative turnover rate spillover factor captures the deviation of short-term trading activity from the long-term average. A higher factor value (i.e., short-term turnover rate is higher than the long-term average) usually means that market sentiment is high, trading is overactive, and stock prices may be at risk of being overvalued, thereby reducing expected future returns. Conversely, a lower factor value may imply low market sentiment, inactive trading, and stock prices may be undervalued. This factor can be regarded as an indicator of market sentiment and short-term liquidity spillover, and is often used in quantitative stock selection and risk management. This factor is also related to overconfidence bias and the chasing-up and selling effect in behavioral finance.